As the 2024 presidential election approaches, new polling data for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump was released on September 24. This data has drawn significant interest. The close race between the candidates highlights a politically polarized landscape. These polls offer crucial insights into voter preferences at both national and state levels as the competition intensifies.
Here’s a brief overview of the current polling trends and their potential implications for the upcoming election.
Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump Poll Results for September 25
As of September 25, 2024, Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in national polling averages, 50.0% to 46.1%. This gives Harris a 3.9% edge based on 207 polls (via The Hill).
Harris shows a stable national lead in several recent surveys. An Ipsos/Reuters poll indicates a +6 advantage, while a Morning Consult poll shows +5. Additionally, a Quinnipiac University poll recorded a tie at 48%.
In Arizona, Trump leads Harris by 0.7%, with Trump at 47.9% and Harris at 47.2% based on 29 polls. Recent polls, including The New York Times/Siena College, show Trump ahead by +4, Emerson College by +1, and The Trafalgar Group with Trump up by +2. In Florida, Trump maintains a 1.1% lead, polling at 49.2% to Harris’ 48.1%. Independent Center shows Trump leading by +1, while Emerson College gave him a +4 advantage, and ActiVote recorded a +7 Trump lead.
Harris holds slight leads in other key battleground states. In Pennsylvania, she leads by 1.3%, with polls showing a tight race. Rasmussen Reports found her ahead by +1, while MassINC/Spotlight PA gave her a +5 margin. In Michigan, Harris holds a 1.2% lead, with Emerson College giving her a narrow +1 and Marist College Poll showing her up by +3.
In Wisconsin, Harris leads by 2.2%, while Trump is ahead by +2 in Emerson College polls. MassINC and Marist show Harris with leads of +7 and +3, respectively. In Georgia, Trump leads Harris by 0.7%, polling at 48.0% to her 47.3%. Recent polls indicate Trump ahead by +4 in Rasmussen and Siena College polls, while Independent Center shows Harris with a +2 edge.
In Nevada, Harris leads by 1.5%, with 48.2% to Trump’s 46.7%. Emerson College shows a near tie, but Noble Predictive Insights and Trafalgar Group give Harris a lead of +3 and +2, respectively. In New Hampshire, Harris leads by 4.9%, polling at 52.0% to Trump’s 47.1%. University of New Hampshire and Emerson College show Harris ahead by +5.
In North Carolina, Trump holds a slim 0.3% lead over Harris, polling at 48.1% to her 47.8%. Recent polls show mixed results, with The Bullfinch Group giving Harris a +1 advantage, while Siena College and Victory Insights show Trump leading by +1 and +4, respectively.
State-level results highlight a competitive race, with both candidates exchanging narrow leads in key battlegrounds. National polls show Harris with a modest lead as the campaign enters its final stretch. However, state polling remains fluid, indicating potential shifts that could impact the outcome.
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